Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $270 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.75 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $300 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$25 (0.8%) on $2,975 risked, vs +$3,123 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $300 by Jun 19
+$25
+0.8% on $2,975 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,975
Premium paid
Break-even
$299.75
+11.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.98 / -23.18 / 45.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | -$2,189 | -$2,517 | -$2,834 | -$2,975 |
| $228 (-15%) | -$1,798 | -$2,208 | -$2,658 | -$2,975 |
| $242 (-10%) | -$1,303 | -$1,782 | -$2,357 | -$2,975 |
| $255 (-5%) | -$703 | -$1,233 | -$1,901 | -$2,975 |
| $263 (-2%) | -$293 | -$843 | -$1,547 | -$2,975 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$559 | -$1,276 | -$2,975 |
| $274 (+2%) | +$309 | -$255 | -$979 | -$2,560 |
| $282 (+5%) | +$799 | +$233 | -$486 | -$1,754 |
| $296 (+10%) | +$1,687 | +$1,132 | +$451 | -$410 |
| $300 (+12%) โ target | +$1,991 | +$1,444 | +$782 | +$25 |
| $309 (+15%) | +$2,653 | +$2,125 | +$1,511 | +$934 |
| $323 (+20%) | +$3,687 | +$3,196 | +$2,662 | +$2,277 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.