Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $270 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.76 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $235 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$624 (21.7%) on $2,876 risked, vs $-3,377 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $235 by Jun 19
+$624
+21.7% on $2,876 risked
Max Profit
+$24,124
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$2,876
Premium paid
Break-even
$241.24
-10.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.02 / -19.88 / 45.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | +$3,186 | +$2,930 | +$2,687 | +$2,622 |
| $228 (-15%) | +$2,234 | +$1,897 | +$1,520 | +$1,279 |
| $235 (-13%) โ target | +$1,807 | +$1,434 | +$994 | +$624 |
| $242 (-10%) | +$1,385 | +$978 | +$477 | -$65 |
| $255 (-5%) | +$641 | +$184 | -$411 | -$1,409 |
| $263 (-2%) | +$244 | -$233 | -$863 | -$2,215 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$486 | -$1,131 | -$2,753 |
| $274 (+2%) | -$229 | -$721 | -$1,372 | -$2,876 |
| $282 (+5%) | -$545 | -$1,038 | -$1,685 | -$2,876 |
| $296 (+10%) | -$1,001 | -$1,483 | -$2,091 | -$2,876 |
| $309 (+15%) | -$1,379 | -$1,834 | -$2,376 | -$2,876 |
| $323 (+20%) | -$1,688 | -$2,106 | -$2,567 | -$2,876 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.