Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $268.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $300 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$3,123 (11.6%) on $26,877 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $300 by Jun 19
+$3,123
+11.6% on $26,877 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$26,877
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$268.77
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | -$5,375 | -$5,375 | -$5,375 |
| $228 (-15%) | -$4,032 | -$4,032 | -$4,032 |
| $242 (-10%) | -$2,688 | -$2,688 | -$2,688 |
| $255 (-5%) | -$1,344 | -$1,344 | -$1,344 |
| $263 (-2%) | -$538 | -$538 | -$538 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $274 (+2%) | +$538 | +$538 | +$538 |
| $282 (+5%) | +$1,344 | +$1,344 | +$1,344 |
| $296 (+10%) | +$2,688 | +$2,688 | +$2,688 |
| $300 (+12%) โ target | +$3,123 | +$3,123 | +$3,123 |
| $309 (+15%) | +$4,032 | +$4,032 | +$4,032 |
| $323 (+20%) | +$5,375 | +$5,375 | +$5,375 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.