Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $295 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $268.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $255 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.2 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $295 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$503 (1.7%) on $28,997 risked, vs +$2,623 (9.8%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $295. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $295 by Jun 19
+$503
+1.7% on $28,997 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$3,497
Put floors you at $255
Break-even
$289.97
+7.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.02 / -19.11 / 43.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | -$2,620 | -$2,934 | -$3,282 | -$3,497 |
| $228 (-15%) | -$2,128 | -$2,512 | -$2,985 | -$3,497 |
| $242 (-10%) | -$1,525 | -$1,958 | -$2,525 | -$3,497 |
| $255 (-5%) | -$813 | -$1,274 | -$1,885 | -$3,464 |
| $263 (-2%) | -$337 | -$803 | -$1,417 | -$2,658 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$465 | -$1,072 | -$2,120 |
| $274 (+2%) | +$352 | -$110 | -$703 | -$1,582 |
| $282 (+5%) | +$904 | +$454 | -$107 | -$776 |
| $295 (+10%) โ target | +$1,840 | +$1,418 | +$924 | +$503 |
| $309 (+15%) | +$2,944 | +$2,564 | +$2,156 | +$1,912 |
| $323 (+20%) | +$4,056 | +$3,721 | +$3,396 | +$3,255 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.