Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $310 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $270 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.75 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $270 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.76 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $310 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-1,851 (-31.6%) on $5,851 risked, vs +$4,123 (15.3%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $310. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $310 by Jun 19
$-1,851
-31.6% on $5,851 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$5,851
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$211.49
-21.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.97 / -43.06 / 90.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | +$997 | +$413 | -$147 | -$353 |
| $228 (-15%) | +$435 | -$311 | -$1,138 | -$1,696 |
| $242 (-10%) | +$81 | -$804 | -$1,880 | -$3,040 |
| $255 (-5%) | -$62 | -$1,049 | -$2,312 | -$4,384 |
| $263 (-2%) | -$49 | -$1,076 | -$2,410 | -$5,190 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$1,045 | -$2,407 | -$5,728 |
| $274 (+2%) | +$79 | -$976 | -$2,351 | -$5,436 |
| $282 (+5%) | +$255 | -$805 | -$2,171 | -$4,630 |
| $296 (+10%) | +$686 | -$351 | -$1,640 | -$3,286 |
| $310 (+15%) โ target | +$1,319 | +$341 | -$806 | -$1,851 |
| $323 (+20%) | +$1,998 | +$1,091 | +$95 | -$599 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.