Target Price Playground
MKSI
$268.77
๐ข
MKSI IV: 62.7% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 91.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $290 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $268.77 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.83 ยท ฮ 0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MKSI hits $290 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$4,306 (17.4%) on $24,694 risked, vs +$2,123 (7.9%) for 100 shares on $26,877. Options give 2.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MKSI is at $290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MKSI hits $290 by Jun 19
+$4,306
+17.4% on $24,694 risked
Max Profit
+$4,306
If the stock โฅ $290 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$24,694
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$246.94
-8.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.38 / 23.05 / -45.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MKSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $215 (-20%) | -$3,694 | -$3,442 | -$3,243 | -$3,192 |
| $228 (-15%) | -$2,631 | -$2,295 | -$1,979 | -$1,849 |
| $242 (-10%) | -$1,657 | -$1,238 | -$789 | -$505 |
| $255 (-5%) | -$779 | -$286 | +$292 | +$839 |
| $263 (-2%) | -$300 | +$230 | +$876 | +$1,645 |
| $269 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$551 | +$1,236 | +$2,183 |
| $274 (+2%) | +$285 | +$854 | +$1,571 | +$2,721 |
| $282 (+5%) | +$683 | +$1,272 | +$2,026 | +$3,527 |
| $290 (+8%) โ target | +$1,036 | +$1,638 | +$2,411 | +$4,306 |
| $296 (+10%) | +$1,274 | +$1,880 | +$2,658 | +$4,306 |
| $309 (+15%) | +$1,777 | +$2,383 | +$3,143 | +$4,306 |
| $323 (+20%) | +$2,202 | +$2,790 | +$3,499 | +$4,306 |
Uses MKSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.