Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
MPWR
$1,353.85
๐ŸŸข
MPWR IV: 54.1% โ€” LOW (-34.2% vs 30d avg of 82.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $1420 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $1250 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $70.64 ยท ฮ” -0.31
P&L at Expiry Now $1354 Target $1420 $948 $1354 $1760
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If MPWR hits $1420 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$7,064 (6.0%) on $-7,064 credit (max loss $117,936), vs +$6,615 (4.9%) for 100 shares on $135,385. Options give 1.2ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MPWR is at $1420. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if MPWR hits $1420 by Jun 19
+$7,064
+6.0% on $117,936 max loss
Max Profit
+$7,064
If the stock โ‰ฅ $1250 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$117,936
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$1179.36
-12.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
30.96 / 76.22 / -204.53
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

MPWR Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$1083 (-20%) -$13,207 -$11,919 -$10,489 -$9,628
$1151 (-15%) -$8,932 -$7,311 -$5,277 -$2,859
$1218 (-10%) -$5,327 -$3,496 -$1,076 +$3,910
$1286 (-5%) -$2,368 -$468 +$2,038 +$7,064
$1327 (-2%) -$881 +$996 +$3,416 +$7,064
$1354 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$1,839 +$4,156 +$7,064
$1381 (+2%) +$798 +$2,584 +$4,768 +$7,064
$1420 (+5%) โ† target +$1,814 +$3,500 +$5,460 +$7,064
$1489 (+10%) +$3,269 +$4,734 +$6,253 +$7,064
$1557 (+15%) +$4,335 +$5,560 +$6,670 +$7,064
$1625 (+20%) +$5,122 +$6,112 +$6,882 +$7,064
Uses MPWR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.