Target Price Playground
MPWR
$1,353.85
๐ข
MPWR IV: 54.2% โ LOW
(-34.1% vs 30d avg of 82.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1520 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $131.37 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MPWR hits $1520 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$3,863 (29.4%) on $13,137 risked, vs +$16,615 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $135,385. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MPWR is at $1520. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MPWR hits $1520 by Jun 19
+$3,863
+29.4% on $13,137 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$13,137
Premium paid
Break-even
$1481.37
+9.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.5 / -99.64 / 228.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MPWR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1083 (-20%) | -$10,448 | -$11,680 | -$12,765 | -$13,137 |
| $1151 (-15%) | -$8,743 | -$10,388 | -$12,112 | -$13,137 |
| $1218 (-10%) | -$6,446 | -$8,453 | -$10,815 | -$13,137 |
| $1286 (-5%) | -$3,529 | -$5,795 | -$8,641 | -$13,137 |
| $1327 (-2%) | -$1,484 | -$3,845 | -$6,858 | -$13,137 |
| $1354 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$2,399 | -$5,466 | -$12,752 |
| $1381 (+2%) | +$1,575 | -$839 | -$3,916 | -$10,044 |
| $1422 (+5%) | +$4,103 | +$1,702 | -$1,310 | -$5,983 |
| $1489 (+10%) | +$8,726 | +$6,429 | +$3,693 | +$787 |
| $1520 (+12%) โ target | +$10,979 | +$8,757 | +$6,194 | +$3,863 |
| $1557 (+15%) | +$13,798 | +$11,683 | +$9,348 | +$7,556 |
| $1625 (+20%) | +$19,249 | +$17,359 | +$15,456 | +$14,325 |
Uses MPWR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.