Target Price Playground
MPWR
$1,353.85
๐ข
MPWR IV: 54.1% โ LOW
(-34.2% vs 30d avg of 82.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1520 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $1353.85 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MPWR hits $1520 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$16,615 (12.3%) on $135,385 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MPWR hits $1520 by Jun 19
+$16,615
+12.3% on $135,385 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$135,385
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$1353.85
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MPWR Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1083 (-20%) | -$27,077 | -$27,077 | -$27,077 |
| $1151 (-15%) | -$20,308 | -$20,308 | -$20,308 |
| $1218 (-10%) | -$13,539 | -$13,539 | -$13,539 |
| $1286 (-5%) | -$6,769 | -$6,769 | -$6,769 |
| $1327 (-2%) | -$2,708 | -$2,708 | -$2,708 |
| $1354 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $1381 (+2%) | +$2,708 | +$2,708 | +$2,708 |
| $1422 (+5%) | +$6,769 | +$6,769 | +$6,769 |
| $1489 (+10%) | +$13,539 | +$13,539 | +$13,539 |
| $1520 (+12%) โ target | +$16,615 | +$16,615 | +$16,615 |
| $1557 (+15%) | +$20,308 | +$20,308 | +$20,308 |
| $1625 (+20%) | +$27,077 | +$27,077 | +$27,077 |
Uses MPWR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.