Target Price Playground
MPWR
$1,353.85
๐ข
MPWR IV: 54.2% โ LOW
(-34.1% vs 30d avg of 82.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1560 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $131.37 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $1350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $116.41 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MPWR hits $1560 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-3,778 (-15.2%) on $24,778 risked, vs +$20,615 (15.2%) for 100 shares on $135,385. Options give 1.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MPWR is at $1560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MPWR hits $1560 by Jun 19
$-3,778
-15.2% on $24,778 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$24,778
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$1597.78
+18.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.99 / -182.77 / 456.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MPWR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1083 (-20%) | +$6,181 | +$4,080 | +$2,277 | +$1,914 |
| $1151 (-15%) | +$2,823 | -$105 | -$3,188 | -$4,855 |
| $1218 (-10%) | +$648 | -$3,003 | -$7,363 | -$11,624 |
| $1286 (-5%) | -$288 | -$4,458 | -$9,784 | -$18,394 |
| $1327 (-2%) | -$259 | -$4,618 | -$10,280 | -$22,455 |
| $1354 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$4,433 | -$10,204 | -$24,393 |
| $1381 (+2%) | +$443 | -$4,022 | -$9,811 | -$21,685 |
| $1422 (+5%) | +$1,438 | -$3,002 | -$8,660 | -$17,624 |
| $1489 (+10%) | +$3,913 | -$317 | -$5,423 | -$10,854 |
| $1560 (+15%) โ target | +$7,460 | +$3,612 | -$654 | -$3,778 |
| $1625 (+20%) | +$11,421 | +$8,005 | +$4,565 | +$2,684 |
Uses MPWR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.