Target Price Playground
MRVL
$128.49
๐ข
MRVL IV: 59.9% โ LOW
(-19.4% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.49 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MRVL hits $145 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$1,651 (12.8%) on $12,849 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MRVL hits $145 by Jun 19
+$1,651
+12.8% on $12,849 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$12,849
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$128.49
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MRVL Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $103 (-20%) | -$2,570 | -$2,570 | -$2,570 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,927 | -$1,927 | -$1,927 |
| $116 (-10%) | -$1,285 | -$1,285 | -$1,285 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$642 | -$642 | -$642 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$257 | -$257 | -$257 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$257 | +$257 | +$257 |
| $135 (+5%) | +$642 | +$642 | +$642 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$1,285 | +$1,285 | +$1,285 |
| $145 (+13%) โ target | +$1,651 | +$1,651 | +$1,651 |
| $148 (+15%) | +$1,927 | +$1,927 | +$1,927 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$2,570 | +$2,570 | +$2,570 |
Uses MRVL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.