Target Price Playground
MRVL
$128.49
๐ข
MRVL IV: 59.9% โ LOW
(-19.4% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $128.49 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.7 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MRVL hits $140 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$2,221 (18.9%) on $11,779 risked, vs +$1,151 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $12,849. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MRVL is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MRVL hits $140 by Jun 19
+$2,221
+18.9% on $11,779 risked
Max Profit
+$2,221
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$11,779
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$117.79
-8.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.0 / 11.29 / -22.94
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MRVL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $103 (-20%) | -$1,701 | -$1,595 | -$1,517 | -$1,500 |
| $109 (-15%) | -$1,179 | -$1,034 | -$903 | -$857 |
| $116 (-10%) | -$700 | -$514 | -$322 | -$215 |
| $122 (-5%) | -$266 | -$44 | +$211 | +$428 |
| $126 (-2%) | -$29 | +$212 | +$501 | +$813 |
| $128 (0%) โ spot | +$120 | +$372 | +$681 | +$1,070 |
| $131 (+2%) | +$261 | +$522 | +$849 | +$1,327 |
| $135 (+5%) | +$458 | +$730 | +$1,077 | +$1,712 |
| $140 (+9%) โ target | +$693 | +$975 | +$1,336 | +$2,221 |
| $141 (+10%) | +$751 | +$1,034 | +$1,396 | +$2,221 |
| $148 (+15%) | +$1,000 | +$1,284 | +$1,642 | +$2,221 |
| $154 (+20%) | +$1,210 | +$1,486 | +$1,822 | +$2,221 |
Uses MRVL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.