Target Price Playground
MTSI
$258.11
๐ข
MTSI IV: 57.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 83.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $290 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $260 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $26.38 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $280 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.57 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MTSI hits $290 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,219 (156.1%) on $781 risked, vs +$3,189 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $25,811. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MTSI is at $290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MTSI hits $290 by Jun 19
+$1,219
+156.1% on $781 risked
Max Profit
+$1,219
If the stock โฅ $280 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$781
Net debit
Break-even
$267.81
+3.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.52 / -0.34 / 0.17
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MTSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $206 (-20%) | -$528 | -$605 | -$713 | -$781 |
| $219 (-15%) | -$418 | -$494 | -$627 | -$781 |
| $232 (-10%) | -$289 | -$354 | -$487 | -$781 |
| $245 (-5%) | -$148 | -$191 | -$292 | -$781 |
| $253 (-2%) | -$60 | -$86 | -$155 | -$781 |
| $258 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$14 | -$58 | -$781 |
| $263 (+2%) | +$59 | +$58 | +$42 | -$454 |
| $271 (+5%) | +$148 | +$167 | +$193 | +$321 |
| $284 (+10%) | +$291 | +$341 | +$435 | +$1,219 |
| $290 (+12%) โ target | +$356 | +$419 | +$539 | +$1,219 |
| $297 (+15%) | +$426 | +$503 | +$648 | +$1,219 |
| $310 (+20%) | +$548 | +$646 | +$821 | +$1,219 |
Uses MTSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.