Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
MTSI
$258.11
๐ŸŸข
MTSI IV: 57.1% โ€” LOW (-31.8% vs 30d avg of 83.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $245 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $260 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $30.6 ยท ฮ” -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $245 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.63 ยท ฮ” -0.36
P&L at Expiry Now $258 Target $245 $181 $258 $336
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If MTSI hits $245 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,263 (105.5%) on $1,197 risked, vs $-1,311 (-5.1%) for 100 shares on $25,811. Options give 20.7ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MTSI is at $245. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if MTSI hits $245 by Jun 19
+$1,263
+105.5% on $1,197 risked
Max Profit
+$1,245
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$1,074
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$271.51
+5.19% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-7.58 / 2.51 / 10.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

MTSI Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$206 (-20%) +$261 +$331 +$413 +$362
$219 (-15%) +$225 +$311 +$444 +$537
$232 (-10%) +$168 +$261 +$425 +$832
$245 (-5%) โ† target +$93 +$180 +$343 +$1,263
$253 (-2%) +$38 +$116 +$263 +$815
$258 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$70 +$200 +$557
$263 (+2%) -$40 +$21 +$131 +$324
$271 (+5%) -$103 -$57 +$18 +$18
$284 (+10%) -$211 -$194 -$181 -$383
$297 (+15%) -$321 -$332 -$378 -$668
$310 (+20%) -$428 -$465 -$557 -$863
Uses MTSI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.