Target Price Playground
NABL
$4.21
Forward Projection
If price hits $4 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $4 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.14 ยท ฮ -0.31
SHORT PUT ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.11 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NABL hits $4 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$9 (300.5%) on $3 risked, vs $-21 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $421. Options give 60.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NABL is at $4. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NABL hits $4 by Jun 19
+$9
+300.5% on $3 risked
Max Profit
+$9
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$5
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$4.32
+2.5% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-1.38 / 0.02 / 0.13
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NABL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3 (-20%) | -$2 | -$3 | -$3 | -$4 |
| $4 (-15%) | -$1 | -$1 | -$1 | -$3 |
| $4 (-10%) | -$0 | +$0 | +$1 | +$1 |
| $4 (-5%) โ target | +$0 | +$1 | +$2 | +$10 |
| $4 (-2%) | +$0 | +$1 | +$2 | +$4 |
| $4 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$1 | +$2 | +$2 |
| $4 (+2%) | -$0 | +$0 | +$1 | +$1 |
| $4 (+5%) | -$0 | -$0 | +$0 | -$1 |
| $5 (+10%) | -$1 | -$1 | -$1 | -$2 |
| $5 (+15%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$2 | -$3 |
| $5 (+20%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$3 | -$3 |
Uses NABL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.