Target Price Playground
NABL
$4.21
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.35 ยท ฮ 0.7
LONG PUT ยท $4 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.11 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NABL hits $5 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$54 (116.0%) on $46 risked, vs +$79 (18.8%) for 100 shares on $421. Options give 6.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NABL is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NABL hits $5 by Jun 19
+$54
+116.0% on $46 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$46
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$4.46
+6.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
14%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
40.15 / -0.3 / 1.25
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NABL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3 (-20%) | +$18 | +$17 | +$16 | +$17 |
| $4 (-15%) | +$4 | +$0 | -$3 | -$4 |
| $4 (-10%) | -$4 | -$10 | -$17 | -$25 |
| $4 (-5%) | -$5 | -$12 | -$22 | -$46 |
| $4 (-2%) | -$2 | -$10 | -$19 | -$33 |
| $4 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$7 | -$15 | -$25 |
| $4 (+2%) | +$4 | -$3 | -$10 | -$17 |
| $4 (+5%) | +$11 | +$6 | -$0 | -$4 |
| $5 (+10%) | +$26 | +$22 | +$19 | +$17 |
| $5 (+15%) | +$44 | +$41 | +$39 | +$38 |
| $5 (+19%) โ target | +$59 | +$57 | +$55 | +$54 |
| $5 (+20%) | +$64 | +$62 | +$60 | +$59 |
Uses NABL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.