Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 56.8% โ LOW
(-20.3% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $73 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $83 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.66 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.4 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $73 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$574 (453.5%) on $126 risked, vs $-1,000 (-12.0%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 37.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $73. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $73 by Jun 19
+$574
+453.5% on $126 risked
Max Profit
+$574
If the stock โค $76 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$126
Net debit
Break-even
$81.74
-1.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.99 / 1.01 / 0.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | +$426 | +$454 | +$503 | +$574 |
| $71 (-15%) | +$372 | +$394 | +$439 | +$574 |
| $73 (-12%) โ target | +$338 | +$354 | +$389 | +$574 |
| $75 (-10%) | +$314 | +$325 | +$351 | +$574 |
| $79 (-5%) | +$254 | +$253 | +$252 | +$289 |
| $81 (-2%) | +$219 | +$210 | +$193 | +$40 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | +$196 | +$182 | +$154 | -$126 |
| $85 (+2%) | +$174 | +$155 | +$118 | -$126 |
| $87 (+5%) | +$142 | +$117 | +$69 | -$126 |
| $91 (+10%) | +$93 | +$61 | +$1 | -$126 |
| $95 (+15%) | +$50 | +$14 | -$48 | -$126 |
| $100 (+20%) | +$14 | -$24 | -$80 | -$126 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.