Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
NOW
$83.00
๐ŸŸข
NOW IV: 56.8% โ€” LOW (-20.3% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $87 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.4 ยท ฮ” -0.32
P&L at Expiry Now $83 Target $87 $58 $83 $108
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If NOW hits $87 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$640 (9.2%) on $-640 credit (max loss $6,960), vs +$400 (4.8%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 1.9ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $87. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if NOW hits $87 by Jun 19
+$640
+9.2% on $6,960 max loss
Max Profit
+$640
If the stock โ‰ฅ $76 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$6,960
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$69.60
-16.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
31.83 / 6.41 / -13.2
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

NOW Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$66 (-20%) -$585 -$497 -$395 -$320
$71 (-15%) -$333 -$226 -$89 +$95
$75 (-10%) -$121 -$2 +$156 +$510
$79 (-5%) +$55 +$177 +$337 +$640
$81 (-2%) +$143 +$263 +$418 +$640
$83 (0%) โ† spot +$196 +$314 +$461 +$640
$85 (+2%) +$244 +$358 +$497 +$640
$87 (+5%) โ† target +$303 +$412 +$538 +$640
$91 (+10%) +$393 +$488 +$587 +$640
$95 (+15%) +$459 +$540 +$613 +$640
$100 (+20%) +$509 +$575 +$627 +$640
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.