Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 51.9% โ LOW
(-27.2% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $90 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $83.0 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $90 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.68 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $90 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,368 (17.9%) on $7,632 risked, vs +$700 (8.4%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $90. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $90 by Jun 19
+$1,368
+17.9% on $7,632 risked
Max Profit
+$1,368
If the stock โฅ $90 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$7,632
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$76.32
-8.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.89 / 7.21 / -14.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | -$1,093 | -$1,037 | -$999 | -$992 |
| $71 (-15%) | -$747 | -$667 | -$598 | -$577 |
| $75 (-10%) | -$430 | -$323 | -$216 | -$162 |
| $79 (-5%) | -$143 | -$13 | +$135 | +$253 |
| $81 (-2%) | +$13 | +$156 | +$325 | +$502 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | +$110 | +$260 | +$443 | +$668 |
| $85 (+2%) | +$202 | +$358 | +$552 | +$834 |
| $87 (+5%) | +$331 | +$493 | +$700 | +$1,083 |
| $90 (+8%) โ target | +$463 | +$630 | +$845 | +$1,368 |
| $91 (+10%) | +$518 | +$687 | +$902 | +$1,368 |
| $95 (+15%) | +$676 | +$844 | +$1,053 | +$1,368 |
| $100 (+20%) | +$806 | +$967 | +$1,160 | +$1,368 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.