Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 56.8% โ LOW
(-20.3% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $79 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $83 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.03 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $79 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.7 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $79 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$381 (114.7%) on $332 risked, vs $-400 (-4.8%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 23.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $79. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $79 by Jun 19
+$381
+114.7% on $332 risked
Max Profit
+$367
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$305
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$87.36
+5.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.66 / 0.78 / 3.3
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | +$66 | +$85 | +$105 | +$81 |
| $71 (-15%) | +$59 | +$84 | +$121 | +$136 |
| $75 (-10%) | +$45 | +$73 | +$121 | +$231 |
| $79 (-5%) โ target | +$24 | +$51 | +$100 | +$381 |
| $81 (-2%) | +$10 | +$34 | +$80 | +$253 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | +$21 | +$62 | +$172 |
| $85 (+2%) | -$12 | +$7 | +$42 | +$100 |
| $87 (+5%) | -$30 | -$15 | +$8 | +$6 |
| $91 (+10%) | -$61 | -$55 | -$52 | -$113 |
| $95 (+15%) | -$93 | -$96 | -$110 | -$196 |
| $100 (+20%) | -$125 | -$135 | -$163 | -$250 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.