Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 56.8% โ LOW
(-20.3% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $93 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $83 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.35 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $93 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$165 (19.8%) on $835 risked, vs +$1,000 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $93. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $93 by Jun 19
+$165
+19.8% on $835 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$835
Premium paid
Break-even
$91.35
+10.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.18 / -6.41 / 14.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | -$650 | -$732 | -$807 | -$835 |
| $71 (-15%) | -$541 | -$649 | -$763 | -$835 |
| $75 (-10%) | -$396 | -$527 | -$680 | -$835 |
| $79 (-5%) | -$216 | -$362 | -$545 | -$835 |
| $81 (-2%) | -$91 | -$243 | -$437 | -$835 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$155 | -$352 | -$835 |
| $85 (+2%) | +$96 | -$60 | -$259 | -$669 |
| $87 (+5%) | +$249 | +$94 | -$102 | -$420 |
| $91 (+10%) | +$529 | +$379 | +$199 | -$5 |
| $93 (+12%) โ target | +$652 | +$505 | +$334 | +$165 |
| $95 (+15%) | +$836 | +$696 | +$539 | +$410 |
| $100 (+20%) | +$1,165 | +$1,038 | +$907 | +$825 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.