Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 51.9% โ LOW
(-27.2% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $73 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $83 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.66 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $73 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$234 (30.5%) on $766 risked, vs $-1,000 (-12.0%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 2.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $73. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $73 by Jun 19
+$234
+30.5% on $766 risked
Max Profit
+$7,534
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$766
Premium paid
Break-even
$75.34
-9.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.82 / -5.4 / 14.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | +$1,011 | +$951 | +$898 | +$894 |
| $71 (-15%) | +$705 | +$619 | +$527 | +$479 |
| $73 (-12%) โ target | +$541 | +$442 | +$326 | +$234 |
| $75 (-10%) | +$434 | +$327 | +$195 | +$64 |
| $79 (-5%) | +$200 | +$76 | -$85 | -$351 |
| $81 (-2%) | +$76 | -$54 | -$225 | -$600 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$132 | -$307 | -$766 |
| $85 (+2%) | -$70 | -$203 | -$379 | -$766 |
| $87 (+5%) | -$165 | -$298 | -$471 | -$766 |
| $91 (+10%) | -$300 | -$428 | -$586 | -$766 |
| $95 (+15%) | -$409 | -$526 | -$661 | -$766 |
| $100 (+20%) | -$495 | -$599 | -$707 | -$766 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.