Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 51.9% โ LOW
(-27.2% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $91 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $83.0 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $79 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.7 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $91 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$230 (2.6%) on $8,870 risked, vs +$800 (9.6%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $91. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $91 by Jun 19
+$230
+2.6% on $8,870 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$970
Put floors you at $79
Break-even
$88.70
+6.87% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.01 / -5.2 / 13.3
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | -$777 | -$854 | -$935 | -$970 |
| $71 (-15%) | -$639 | -$739 | -$859 | -$970 |
| $75 (-10%) | -$463 | -$579 | -$730 | -$970 |
| $79 (-5%) | -$249 | -$374 | -$541 | -$970 |
| $81 (-2%) | -$103 | -$230 | -$398 | -$736 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$126 | -$291 | -$570 |
| $85 (+2%) | +$109 | -$16 | -$176 | -$404 |
| $87 (+5%) | +$281 | +$160 | +$11 | -$155 |
| $91 (+10%) โ target | +$567 | +$455 | +$328 | +$230 |
| $95 (+15%) | +$922 | +$825 | +$726 | +$675 |
| $100 (+20%) | +$1,273 | +$1,191 | +$1,116 | +$1,090 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.