Target Price Playground
NOW
$83.00
๐ข
NOW IV: 56.8% โ LOW
(-20.3% vs 30d avg of 71.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $95 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $83 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.35 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $83 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.66 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NOW hits $95 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-401 (-25.1%) on $1,601 risked, vs +$1,200 (14.5%) for 100 shares on $8,300. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NOW is at $95. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NOW hits $95 by Jun 19
$-401
-25.1% on $1,601 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,601
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$66.99
-19.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.36 / -11.81 / 28.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NOW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | +$361 | +$218 | +$91 | +$59 |
| $71 (-15%) | +$165 | -$29 | -$236 | -$356 |
| $75 (-10%) | +$38 | -$200 | -$485 | -$771 |
| $79 (-5%) | -$17 | -$286 | -$630 | -$1,186 |
| $81 (-2%) | -$15 | -$296 | -$662 | -$1,435 |
| $83 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$286 | -$659 | -$1,601 |
| $85 (+2%) | +$26 | -$263 | -$638 | -$1,435 |
| $87 (+5%) | +$84 | -$204 | -$573 | -$1,186 |
| $91 (+10%) | +$229 | -$49 | -$387 | -$771 |
| $95 (+14%) โ target | +$403 | +$144 | -$154 | -$401 |
| $100 (+20%) | +$670 | +$440 | +$200 | +$59 |
Uses NOW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.