Target Price Playground
NTNX
$34.41
๐ข
NTNX IV: 57.7% โ LOW
(-21.0% vs 30d avg of 73.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $39 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $34.41 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NTNX hits $39 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$459 (13.3%) on $3,441 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NTNX hits $39 by Jun 19
+$459
+13.3% on $3,441 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,441
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$34.41
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NTNX Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $28 (-20%) | -$688 | -$688 | -$688 |
| $29 (-15%) | -$516 | -$516 | -$516 |
| $31 (-10%) | -$344 | -$344 | -$344 |
| $33 (-5%) | -$172 | -$172 | -$172 |
| $34 (-2%) | -$69 | -$69 | -$69 |
| $34 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $35 (+2%) | +$69 | +$69 | +$69 |
| $36 (+5%) | +$172 | +$172 | +$172 |
| $38 (+10%) | +$344 | +$344 | +$344 |
| $39 (+13%) โ target | +$459 | +$459 | +$459 |
| $40 (+15%) | +$516 | +$516 | +$516 |
| $41 (+20%) | +$688 | +$688 | +$688 |
Uses NTNX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.