Target Price Playground
NVDA
$188.63
๐ข
NVDA IV: 43.2% โ LOW
(-26.4% vs 30d avg of 58.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $210 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.45 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.45 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NVDA hits $210 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$900 (150.0%) on $600 risked, vs +$2,137 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $18,863. Options give 13.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NVDA is at $210. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NVDA hits $210 by Jun 19
+$900
+150.0% on $600 risked
Max Profit
+$900
If the stock โฅ $205 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$600
Net debit
Break-even
$196.00
+3.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.46 / -1.47 / 2.34
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NVDA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $151 (-20%) | -$496 | -$544 | -$589 | -$600 |
| $160 (-15%) | -$415 | -$476 | -$556 | -$600 |
| $170 (-10%) | -$306 | -$369 | -$475 | -$600 |
| $179 (-5%) | -$174 | -$223 | -$323 | -$600 |
| $185 (-2%) | -$87 | -$122 | -$199 | -$600 |
| $189 (0%) โ spot | -$27 | -$50 | -$105 | -$600 |
| $192 (+2%) | +$34 | +$23 | -$6 | -$360 |
| $198 (+5%) | +$124 | +$134 | +$147 | +$206 |
| $207 (+10%) | +$270 | +$310 | +$389 | +$900 |
| $210 (+11%) โ target | +$307 | +$354 | +$446 | +$900 |
| $217 (+15%) | +$402 | +$466 | +$584 | +$900 |
| $226 (+20%) | +$517 | +$594 | +$722 | +$900 |
Uses NVDA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.