Target Price Playground
NVDA
$188.63
๐ข
NVDA IV: 43.2% โ LOW
(-26.4% vs 30d avg of 58.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $210 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.45 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NVDA hits $210 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$755 (60.6%) on $1,245 risked, vs +$2,137 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $18,863. Options give 5.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NVDA is at $210. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NVDA hits $210 by Jun 19
+$755
+60.6% on $1,245 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,245
Premium paid
Break-even
$202.45
+7.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.87 / -10.48 / 31.88
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NVDA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $151 (-20%) | -$1,064 | -$1,163 | -$1,232 | -$1,245 |
| $160 (-15%) | -$897 | -$1,052 | -$1,192 | -$1,245 |
| $170 (-10%) | -$643 | -$852 | -$1,082 | -$1,245 |
| $179 (-5%) | -$288 | -$542 | -$851 | -$1,245 |
| $185 (-2%) | -$26 | -$296 | -$637 | -$1,245 |
| $189 (0%) โ spot | +$169 | -$108 | -$460 | -$1,245 |
| $192 (+2%) | +$380 | +$100 | -$256 | -$1,005 |
| $198 (+5%) | +$726 | +$448 | +$100 | -$439 |
| $207 (+10%) | +$1,373 | +$1,111 | +$805 | +$504 |
| $210 (+11%) โ target | +$1,559 | +$1,304 | +$1,013 | +$755 |
| $217 (+15%) | +$2,096 | +$1,863 | +$1,617 | +$1,447 |
| $226 (+20%) | +$2,880 | +$2,681 | +$2,495 | +$2,391 |
Uses NVDA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.