Target Price Playground
NVDA
$188.63
๐ข
NVDA IV: 43.2% โ LOW
(-26.4% vs 30d avg of 58.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $215 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.45 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.52 ยท ฮ -0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NVDA hits $215 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$3 (0.1%) on $2,497 risked, vs +$2,637 (14.0%) for 100 shares on $18,863.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NVDA is at $215. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NVDA hits $215 by Jun 19
+$3
+0.1% on $2,497 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,497
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$165.03
-12.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
5.04 / -18.86 / 63.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NVDA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $151 (-20%) | +$1,618 | +$1,471 | +$1,385 | +$1,413 |
| $160 (-15%) | +$1,009 | +$751 | +$521 | +$469 |
| $170 (-10%) | +$575 | +$206 | -$202 | -$474 |
| $179 (-5%) | +$340 | -$116 | -$683 | -$1,417 |
| $185 (-2%) | +$298 | -$191 | -$821 | -$1,983 |
| $189 (0%) โ spot | +$312 | -$191 | -$844 | -$2,360 |
| $192 (+2%) | +$358 | -$152 | -$812 | -$2,257 |
| $198 (+5%) | +$483 | -$23 | -$667 | -$1,691 |
| $207 (+10%) | +$834 | +$361 | -$199 | -$748 |
| $215 (+14%) โ target | +$1,223 | +$795 | +$329 | +$3 |
| $217 (+15%) | +$1,336 | +$921 | +$480 | +$195 |
| $226 (+20%) | +$1,961 | +$1,615 | +$1,292 | +$1,139 |
Uses NVDA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.