Target Price Playground
NXPI
$204.37
๐ข
NXPI IV: 42.4% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 61.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $180 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.46 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NXPI hits $180 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,054 (72.9%) on $1,446 risked, vs $-2,437 (-11.9%) for 100 shares on $20,437. Options give 6.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NXPI is at $180. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NXPI hits $180 by Jun 19
+$1,054
+72.9% on $1,446 risked
Max Profit
+$19,054
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,446
Premium paid
Break-even
$190.54
-6.77% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.21 / -9.82 / 34.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NXPI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $164 (-20%) | +$2,731 | +$2,679 | +$2,660 | +$2,704 |
| $174 (-15%) | +$1,892 | +$1,781 | +$1,684 | +$1,683 |
| $180 (-12%) โ target | +$1,423 | +$1,274 | +$1,118 | +$1,054 |
| $184 (-10%) | +$1,150 | +$979 | +$785 | +$661 |
| $194 (-5%) | +$518 | +$301 | +$22 | -$361 |
| $200 (-2%) | +$193 | -$41 | -$351 | -$974 |
| $204 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$241 | -$563 | -$1,383 |
| $208 (+2%) | -$177 | -$420 | -$744 | -$1,446 |
| $215 (+5%) | -$409 | -$650 | -$962 | -$1,446 |
| $225 (+10%) | -$721 | -$941 | -$1,205 | -$1,446 |
| $235 (+15%) | -$950 | -$1,138 | -$1,336 | -$1,446 |
| $245 (+20%) | -$1,114 | -$1,265 | -$1,400 | -$1,446 |
Uses NXPI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.