Target Price Playground
NXPI
$204.37
๐ข
NXPI IV: 42.4% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 61.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.51 ยท ฮ 0.55
LONG PUT ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.46 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NXPI hits $235 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$3 (0.1%) on $2,997 risked, vs +$3,063 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $20,437.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NXPI is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NXPI hits $235 by Jun 19
+$3
+0.1% on $2,997 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,997
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$175.03
-14.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.58 / -22.16 / 69.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NXPI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $164 (-20%) | +$1,375 | +$1,216 | +$1,123 | +$1,153 |
| $174 (-15%) | +$720 | +$441 | +$192 | +$132 |
| $184 (-10%) | +$257 | -$141 | -$584 | -$890 |
| $194 (-5%) | +$14 | -$475 | -$1,088 | -$1,912 |
| $200 (-2%) | -$21 | -$545 | -$1,222 | -$2,525 |
| $204 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$537 | -$1,235 | -$2,934 |
| $208 (+2%) | +$57 | -$486 | -$1,189 | -$2,651 |
| $215 (+5%) | +$204 | -$332 | -$1,012 | -$2,038 |
| $225 (+10%) | +$603 | +$107 | -$476 | -$1,016 |
| $235 (+15%) โ target | +$1,164 | +$732 | +$281 | +$3 |
| $245 (+20%) | +$1,859 | +$1,502 | +$1,177 | +$1,027 |
Uses NXPI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.