Target Price Playground
NXPI
$204.37
๐ข
NXPI IV: 42.4% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 61.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $230 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $205 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.51 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NXPI hits $230 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$949 (61.2%) on $1,551 risked, vs +$2,563 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $20,437. Options give 4.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NXPI is at $230. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NXPI hits $230 by Jun 19
+$949
+61.2% on $1,551 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,551
Premium paid
Break-even
$220.51
+7.9% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.79 / -12.33 / 34.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NXPI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $164 (-20%) | -$1,356 | -$1,463 | -$1,537 | -$1,551 |
| $174 (-15%) | -$1,173 | -$1,340 | -$1,492 | -$1,551 |
| $184 (-10%) | -$893 | -$1,120 | -$1,369 | -$1,551 |
| $194 (-5%) | -$504 | -$776 | -$1,110 | -$1,551 |
| $200 (-2%) | -$215 | -$504 | -$870 | -$1,551 |
| $204 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$296 | -$673 | -$1,551 |
| $208 (+2%) | +$233 | -$66 | -$445 | -$1,205 |
| $215 (+5%) | +$613 | +$317 | -$50 | -$592 |
| $225 (+10%) | +$1,324 | +$1,048 | +$729 | +$430 |
| $230 (+13%) โ target | +$1,717 | +$1,457 | +$1,171 | +$949 |
| $235 (+15%) | +$2,116 | +$1,873 | +$1,620 | +$1,452 |
| $245 (+20%) | +$2,973 | +$2,767 | +$2,577 | +$2,473 |
Uses NXPI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.