Target Price Playground
OS
$24.00
๐ข
OS IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-80.6% vs 30d avg of 143.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.91 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.12 ยท ฮ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If OS hits $27 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$121 (154.4%) on $79 risked, vs +$300 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 12.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if OS is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if OS hits $27 by Jun 19
+$121
+154.4% on $79 risked
Max Profit
+$121
If the stock โฅ $26 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$79
Net debit
Break-even
$24.79
+3.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.63 / -0.08 / 0.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| OS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | -$64 | -$70 | -$77 | -$79 |
| $20 (-15%) | -$53 | -$61 | -$72 | -$79 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$38 | -$46 | -$60 | -$79 |
| $23 (-5%) | -$20 | -$26 | -$39 | -$79 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$8 | -$12 | -$22 | -$79 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$3 | -$9 | -$79 |
| $24 (+2%) | +$8 | +$7 | +$4 | -$31 |
| $25 (+5%) | +$20 | +$21 | +$24 | +$41 |
| $26 (+10%) | +$39 | +$44 | +$55 | +$121 |
| $27 (+12%) โ target | +$47 | +$55 | +$69 | +$121 |
| $28 (+15%) | +$56 | +$65 | +$81 | +$121 |
| $29 (+20%) | +$71 | +$81 | +$98 | +$121 |
Uses OS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.