Target Price Playground
OS
$24.00
๐ข
OS IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-80.6% vs 30d avg of 143.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $24 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.01 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $23 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.24 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If OS hits $23 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$89 (115.6%) on $77 risked, vs $-100 (-4.2%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 27.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if OS is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if OS hits $23 by Jun 19
+$89
+115.6% on $77 risked
Max Profit
+$86
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$75
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$24.89
+3.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.6 / 0.18 / 0.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| OS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | +$20 | +$23 | +$25 | +$19 |
| $20 (-15%) | +$19 | +$24 | +$30 | +$27 |
| $22 (-10%) | +$15 | +$21 | +$32 | +$47 |
| $23 (-4%) โ target | +$7 | +$14 | +$25 | +$90 |
| $24 (-2%) | +$4 | +$10 | +$20 | +$60 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$5 | +$14 | +$36 |
| $24 (+2%) | -$3 | +$1 | +$8 | +$16 |
| $25 (+5%) | -$9 | -$7 | -$3 | -$10 |
| $26 (+10%) | -$20 | -$20 | -$22 | -$40 |
| $28 (+15%) | -$30 | -$32 | -$38 | -$58 |
| $29 (+20%) | -$39 | -$43 | -$52 | -$68 |
Uses OS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.