Target Price Playground
OS
$24.00
๐ข
OS IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-80.6% vs 30d avg of 143.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $26 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $24.0 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.12 ยท ฮ 0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If OS hits $26 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$312 (13.7%) on $2,288 risked, vs +$200 (8.3%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if OS is at $26. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if OS hits $26 by Jun 19
+$312
+13.7% on $2,288 risked
Max Profit
+$312
If the stock โฅ $26 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,288
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$22.88
-4.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
61.13 / 1.41 / -3.94
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| OS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | -$379 | -$372 | -$368 | -$368 |
| $20 (-15%) | -$271 | -$258 | -$249 | -$248 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$170 | -$151 | -$134 | -$128 |
| $23 (-5%) | -$80 | -$53 | -$25 | -$8 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$31 | +$0 | +$35 | +$64 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$33 | +$72 | +$112 |
| $24 (+2%) | +$28 | +$63 | +$106 | +$160 |
| $25 (+5%) | +$67 | +$104 | +$151 | +$232 |
| $26 (+8%) โ target | +$105 | +$144 | +$193 | +$312 |
| $26 (+10%) | +$122 | +$161 | +$211 | +$312 |
| $28 (+15%) | +$166 | +$205 | +$251 | +$312 |
| $29 (+20%) | +$201 | +$236 | +$276 | +$312 |
Uses OS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.