Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.56 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $51 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.95 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $53 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$239 (148.9%) on $161 risked, vs +$581 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $4,719. Options give 12.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PCOR is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $53 by Jun 19
+$239
+148.9% on $161 risked
Max Profit
+$239
If the stock โฅ $51 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$161
Net debit
Break-even
$48.61
+3.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.19 / -0.07 / 0.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$116 | -$131 | -$151 | -$161 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$93 | -$109 | -$135 | -$161 |
| $42 (-10%) | -$65 | -$79 | -$107 | -$161 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$34 | -$43 | -$64 | -$161 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$14 | -$19 | -$33 | -$161 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$3 | -$12 | -$142 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$13 | +$13 | +$11 | -$48 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$33 | +$37 | +$45 | +$94 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$65 | +$76 | +$98 | +$239 |
| $53 (+12%) โ target | +$79 | +$93 | +$120 | +$239 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$94 | +$111 | +$142 | +$239 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$121 | +$141 | +$177 | +$239 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.