Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $42 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.98 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $43 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $42 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$222 (125.1%) on $178 risked, vs $-519 (-11.0%) for 100 shares on $4,719. Options give 11.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PCOR is at $42. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $42 by Jun 19
+$222
+125.1% on $178 risked
Max Profit
+$222
If the stock โค $43 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$178
Net debit
Break-even
$45.22
-4.17% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-14.47 / -0.31 / 1.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$139 | +$156 | +$184 | +$222 |
| $40 (-15%) | +$107 | +$120 | +$146 | +$222 |
| $42 (-11%) โ target | +$79 | +$87 | +$105 | +$222 |
| $45 (-5%) | +$35 | +$34 | +$33 | +$39 |
| $46 (-2%) | +$14 | +$8 | -$4 | -$103 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$9 | -$27 | -$178 |
| $48 (+2%) | -$14 | -$25 | -$48 | -$178 |
| $50 (+5%) | -$33 | -$48 | -$77 | -$178 |
| $52 (+10%) | -$62 | -$81 | -$115 | -$178 |
| $54 (+15%) | -$87 | -$108 | -$142 | -$178 |
| $57 (+20%) | -$108 | -$129 | -$158 | -$178 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.