Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $51 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $47.19 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $51 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.95 ยท ฮ 0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $51 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$676 (15.3%) on $4,424 risked, vs +$381 (8.1%) for 100 shares on $4,719. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PCOR is at $51. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $51 by Jun 19
+$676
+15.3% on $4,424 risked
Max Profit
+$676
If the stock โฅ $51 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$4,424
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$44.24
-6.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.52 / 3.36 / -7.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$696 | -$669 | -$652 | -$649 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$496 | -$455 | -$422 | -$413 |
| $42 (-10%) | -$312 | -$257 | -$203 | -$177 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$146 | -$77 | -$0 | +$59 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$56 | +$20 | +$110 | +$201 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$80 | +$177 | +$295 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$52 | +$136 | +$239 | +$389 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$126 | +$213 | +$323 | +$531 |
| $51 (+8%) โ target | +$193 | +$283 | +$397 | +$676 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$232 | +$322 | +$437 | +$676 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$320 | +$409 | +$520 | +$676 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$391 | +$476 | +$576 | +$676 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.