Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $42 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.98 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $42 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$102 (25.6%) on $398 risked, vs $-519 (-11.0%) for 100 shares on $4,719. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PCOR is at $42. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $42 by Jun 19
+$102
+25.6% on $398 risked
Max Profit
+$4,302
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$398
Premium paid
Break-even
$43.02
-8.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.33 / -2.86 / 7.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$580 | +$551 | +$526 | +$527 |
| $40 (-15%) | +$403 | +$359 | +$313 | +$291 |
| $42 (-11%) โ target | +$276 | +$222 | +$158 | +$102 |
| $45 (-5%) | +$113 | +$47 | -$38 | -$181 |
| $46 (-2%) | +$42 | -$26 | -$118 | -$323 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$70 | -$163 | -$398 |
| $48 (+2%) | -$39 | -$110 | -$203 | -$398 |
| $50 (+5%) | -$92 | -$162 | -$253 | -$398 |
| $52 (+10%) | -$166 | -$233 | -$314 | -$398 |
| $54 (+15%) | -$225 | -$285 | -$351 | -$398 |
| $57 (+20%) | -$270 | -$322 | -$374 | -$398 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.