Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $47.19 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $53 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$581 (12.3%) on $4,719 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $53 by Jun 19
+$581
+12.3% on $4,719 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$4,719
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$47.19
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$944 | -$944 | -$944 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$708 | -$708 | -$708 |
| $42 (-10%) | -$472 | -$472 | -$472 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$236 | -$236 | -$236 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$94 | -$94 | -$94 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$94 | +$94 | +$94 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$236 | +$236 | +$236 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$472 | +$472 | +$472 |
| $53 (+12%) โ target | +$581 | +$581 | +$581 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$708 | +$708 | +$708 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$944 | +$944 | +$944 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.