Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $54 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.56 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.98 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $54 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-154 (-18.0%) on $854 risked, vs +$681 (14.4%) for 100 shares on $4,719. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PCOR is at $54. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $54 by Jun 19
$-154
-18.0% on $854 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$854
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$55.54
+17.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.34 / -6.3 / 15.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$216 | +$144 | +$83 | +$71 |
| $40 (-15%) | +$98 | -$3 | -$108 | -$165 |
| $42 (-10%) | +$22 | -$104 | -$254 | -$401 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$11 | -$154 | -$338 | -$637 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$9 | -$160 | -$355 | -$779 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$153 | -$352 | -$835 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$16 | -$138 | -$337 | -$741 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$51 | -$102 | -$296 | -$599 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$139 | -$6 | -$181 | -$363 |
| $54 (+14%) โ target | +$243 | +$109 | -$41 | -$154 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$404 | +$287 | +$171 | +$109 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.