Target Price Playground
PCOR
$47.19
๐ก
PCOR IV: 52.9% โ NORMAL
(-0.7% vs 30d avg of 53.3%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $47 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.56 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PCOR hits $53 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$144 (31.6%) on $456 risked, vs +$581 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $4,719. Options give 2.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PCOR is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PCOR hits $53 by Jun 19
+$144
+31.6% on $456 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$456
Premium paid
Break-even
$51.56
+9.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.67 / -3.44 / 7.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PCOR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$364 | -$406 | -$443 | -$456 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$305 | -$362 | -$421 | -$456 |
| $42 (-10%) | -$225 | -$294 | -$376 | -$456 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$124 | -$202 | -$300 | -$456 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$52 | -$133 | -$237 | -$456 |
| $47 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$83 | -$189 | -$437 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$55 | -$29 | -$135 | -$343 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$143 | +$61 | -$43 | -$201 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$305 | +$226 | +$133 | +$35 |
| $53 (+12%) โ target | +$385 | +$309 | +$222 | +$144 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$483 | +$410 | +$331 | +$271 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$674 | +$609 | +$545 | +$507 |
Uses PCOR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.