Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ” -0.33
SHORT PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ” -0.33
P&L at Expiry Now $6 Target $5 $4 $6 $7
Stock (100 sh) Bear Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If PD hits $5 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$0 (0.0%) on $0 risked, vs $-73 (-12.7%) for 100 shares on $573.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if PD hits $5 by Jun 19
+$0
+0.0% on $1 risked
Max Profit
+$0
If the stock โ‰ค $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$0
Net debit
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
32%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

PD Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$5 (-20%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$5 (-15%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$5 (-13%) โ† target +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$5 (-10%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$5 (-5%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$6 (-2%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$6 (0%) โ† spot +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$6 (+2%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$6 (+5%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$6 (+10%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$7 (+15%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
$7 (+20%) +$0 +$0 +$0 +$0
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.