Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.44 ยท ฮ 0.67
SHORT CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.2 ยท ฮ 0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $7 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$26 (105.6%) on $24 risked, vs +$77 (13.4%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 7.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $7 by Jun 19
+$26
+105.6% on $24 risked
Max Profit
+$26
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$24
Net debit
Break-even
$5.74
+0.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
26.35 / -0.0 / -0.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$22 | -$23 | -$24 | -$24 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$19 | -$21 | -$23 | -$24 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$14 | -$16 | -$20 | -$24 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$7 | -$9 | -$12 | -$24 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$3 | -$3 | -$5 | -$12 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 | -$1 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$3 | +$4 | +$5 | +$10 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$8 | +$9 | +$12 | +$26 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$14 | +$16 | +$20 | +$26 |
| $7 (+13%) โ target | +$17 | +$19 | +$23 | +$26 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$18 | +$21 | +$24 | +$26 |
| $7 (+20%) | +$21 | +$23 | +$25 | +$26 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.