Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $6 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$17 (3.2%) on $-17 credit (max loss $533), vs +$27 (4.7%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $6 by Jun 19
+$17
+3.2% on $533 max loss
Max Profit
+$17
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$533
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$5.33
-6.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
32.73 / 0.17 / -0.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$73 | -$73 | -$74 | -$75 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$48 | -$47 | -$45 | -$46 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$27 | -$24 | -$20 | -$17 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$12 | -$7 | -$2 | +$11 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$4 | +$0 | +$6 | +$17 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$4 | +$10 | +$17 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$3 | +$7 | +$12 | +$17 |
| $6 (+5%) โ target | +$7 | +$11 | +$15 | +$17 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$12 | +$14 | +$16 | +$17 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$15 | +$16 | +$17 | +$17 |
| $7 (+20%) | +$16 | +$17 | +$17 | +$17 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.