Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $5.73 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.2 ยท ฮ 0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $6 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$47 (8.5%) on $553 risked, vs +$27 (4.7%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $6 by Jun 19
+$47
+8.5% on $553 risked
Max Profit
+$47
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$553
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$5.53
-3.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.08 / 0.24 / -0.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$96 | -$95 | -$95 | -$95 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$68 | -$67 | -$66 | -$66 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$42 | -$39 | -$37 | -$37 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$19 | -$15 | -$11 | -$9 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$7 | -$2 | +$4 | +$9 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$5 | +$12 | +$20 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$6 | +$12 | +$19 | +$31 |
| $6 (+5%) โ target | +$14 | +$20 | +$28 | +$47 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$25 | +$31 | +$39 | +$47 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$32 | +$38 | +$43 | +$47 |
| $7 (+20%) | +$37 | +$41 | +$45 | +$47 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.