Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.21 ยท ฮ -0.34
SHORT PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $6 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$13 (294.1%) on $4 risked, vs $-23 (-4.0%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 73.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $6 by Jun 19
+$13
+294.1% on $4 risked
Max Profit
+$12
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$6
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$5.93
+3.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-0.96 / 0.03 / 0.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$3 | -$4 | -$5 | -$6 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$2 | -$4 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$0 | +$0 | +$1 | +$0 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$0 | +$1 | +$3 | +$10 |
| $6 (-4%) โ target | +$0 | +$1 | +$3 | +$13 |
| $6 (-2%) | +$0 | +$1 | +$3 | +$8 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$1 | +$3 | +$5 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$0 | +$1 | +$2 | +$2 |
| $6 (+5%) | -$0 | +$0 | +$1 | -$1 |
| $6 (+10%) | -$1 | -$1 | -$1 | -$3 |
| $7 (+15%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$3 | -$4 |
| $7 (+20%) | -$3 | -$3 | -$4 | -$4 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.