Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $5 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$33 (194.7%) on $17 risked, vs $-73 (-12.7%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 15.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $5 by Jun 19
+$33
+194.7% on $17 risked
Max Profit
+$533
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$17
Premium paid
Break-even
$5.33
-6.98% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
32%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-32.73 / -0.17 / 0.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | +$73 | +$73 | +$74 | +$75 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$48 | +$47 | +$45 | +$46 |
| $5 (-13%) โ target | +$38 | +$36 | +$34 | +$33 |
| $5 (-10%) | +$27 | +$24 | +$20 | +$17 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$12 | +$7 | +$2 | -$11 |
| $6 (-2%) | +$4 | -$0 | -$6 | -$17 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$4 | -$10 | -$17 |
| $6 (+2%) | -$3 | -$7 | -$12 | -$17 |
| $6 (+5%) | -$8 | -$11 | -$15 | -$17 |
| $6 (+10%) | -$12 | -$14 | -$16 | -$17 |
| $7 (+15%) | -$15 | -$16 | -$17 | -$17 |
| $7 (+20%) | -$16 | -$17 | -$17 | -$17 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.