Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $5.73 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $7 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$60 (10.2%) on $590 risked, vs +$77 (13.4%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $7 by Jun 19
+$60
+10.2% on $590 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$40
Put floors you at $6
Break-even
$5.90
+2.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
67.27 / -0.17 / 0.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | -$42 | -$42 | -$41 | -$40 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$38 | -$39 | -$41 | -$40 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$30 | -$33 | -$37 | -$40 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$17 | -$22 | -$27 | -$40 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$7 | -$11 | -$17 | -$28 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$4 | -$10 | -$17 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$8 | +$4 | -$1 | -$6 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$21 | +$18 | +$14 | +$12 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$45 | +$43 | +$41 | +$40 |
| $7 (+13%) โ target | +$63 | +$61 | +$60 | +$60 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$71 | +$70 | +$69 | +$69 |
| $7 (+20%) | +$99 | +$98 | +$98 | +$98 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.