Target Price Playground
PD
$5.73
Forward Projection
If price hits $7 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.44 ยท ฮ 0.67
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.17 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PD hits $7 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$39 (62.7%) on $61 risked, vs +$77 (13.4%) for 100 shares on $573. Options give 4.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PD is at $7. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PD hits $7 by Jun 19
+$39
+62.7% on $61 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$61
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$6.11
+6.71% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
30%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
34.53 / -0.41 / 1.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 (-20%) | +$32 | +$30 | +$30 | +$31 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$11 | +$6 | +$2 | +$2 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$2 | -$10 | -$19 | -$27 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$5 | -$15 | -$28 | -$55 |
| $6 (-2%) | -$3 | -$13 | -$26 | -$49 |
| $6 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$9 | -$22 | -$38 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$5 | -$5 | -$16 | -$27 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$14 | +$6 | -$3 | -$9 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$33 | +$27 | +$22 | +$19 |
| $7 (+13%) โ target | +$50 | +$45 | +$41 | +$39 |
| $7 (+15%) | +$57 | +$53 | +$50 | +$48 |
| $7 (+20%) | +$84 | +$81 | +$79 | +$77 |
Uses PD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.