Target Price Playground
PG
$145.16
๐ข
PG IV: 24.1% โ LOW
(-42.0% vs 30d avg of 41.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $165 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $145 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $155 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.94 ยท ฮ 0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PG hits $165 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$584 (140.4%) on $416 risked, vs +$1,984 (13.7%) for 100 shares on $14,516. Options give 10.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PG is at $165. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PG hits $165 by Jun 19
+$584
+140.4% on $416 risked
Max Profit
+$584
If the stock โฅ $155 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$416
Net debit
Break-even
$149.16
+2.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
17%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
28.26 / -1.15 / 1.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $116 (-20%) | -$410 | -$415 | -$416 | -$416 |
| $123 (-15%) | -$387 | -$406 | -$415 | -$416 |
| $131 (-10%) | -$325 | -$364 | -$403 | -$416 |
| $138 (-5%) | -$205 | -$252 | -$328 | -$416 |
| $142 (-2%) | -$106 | -$145 | -$217 | -$416 |
| $145 (0%) โ spot | -$33 | -$60 | -$113 | -$400 |
| $148 (+2%) | +$43 | +$31 | +$7 | -$110 |
| $152 (+5%) | +$156 | +$168 | +$193 | +$326 |
| $160 (+10%) | +$321 | +$361 | +$433 | +$584 |
| $165 (+14%) โ target | +$413 | +$458 | +$524 | +$584 |
| $167 (+15%) | +$439 | +$483 | +$543 | +$584 |
| $174 (+20%) | +$511 | +$544 | +$574 | +$584 |
Uses PG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.